Because of the completed Brexit, Scotland is aiming for a second independence referendum – reintegration into the EU is also planned. This course is apparently strongly supported by the voters: According to a survey, the ruling national party SNP is heading for a record majority in the elections in May.
The party of Prime Minister Nicola Sturgeon can currently count on 71 out of 129 seats in the Scottish Parliament. That is eight more seats than in the previous regional election in 2016. This is the result of a survey by market researchers from Savanta ComRes, which was published by the newspaper “The Scotsman”. So far, the SNP has only won an absolute majority once in 2011 with 69 seats.
Sturgeon, who is also the party leader, has already announced that if she does well, she will plan another independence referendum (read more here). British Prime Minister Boris Johnson would have to agree to a new referendum and has already stated that he sees no need for it after the Scots voted 55 to 45 percent against secession in 2014.
The exit from the EU, which was largely rejected by the Scots in the Brexit referendum in 2016, and the criticism of the government’s corona crisis management in London have apparently further strengthened the support of the Scottish citizens for the SNP. Most polls show that a majority are now in favor of secession. According to the current Savanta ComRes survey, 57 percent would vote in favor of a new referendum. This value is just below a record high.
An independence of the northern part of the country would have serious consequences. The United Kingdom could break up, the constitutional lawyer Robert Hazell from University College London recently told the news agency dpa. “There are already strong signals of increasing support for a referendum in Northern Ireland on reunification with Ireland.” And calls for independence were also gaining ground in Wales. “Johnson’s promise of a ‘Global Britain,’ strong and free because of Brexit, would turn out to be false,” said Hazell.